The U.S. is weakened by Soleimani’s killing (An unstable middle east awaits)

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 The U.S. is weakened by Soleimani’s killing (An unstable middle east awaits)

Read more on - Polity | Economy | Schemes | S&T | Environment


    • The unfolding events: US President Trump's 'maximum pressure' strategy had forced Iran to dump its 'strategic restraint' approach from 2018 onwards. 
      1. In Jan 2020, Iraqi embassy of US was nearly overrun in Baghdad (Iraq). 
      2. US wanted Iraqi PM to convince Iran to end this hostility. 
      3. Hence, General Soleimani was called for talks. He was killed, alongwith PMF's commander al-Muhandis. (PMF - umbrella group of Iraqi Shia militias)
    • A strategic mistake: US knows it made a big mistake by killing a public figure in this manner. Both Iran and Iraq consider this a 'declaration of war'. Iran issued warnings to the US for retributions.
    • Throw the US troops out: Iraqi Parliament voted to expel US troops from its soil, and complain to the UN against US for breach of sovereignty.
    • Who was attacked actually: Iraqis think US has attacked them, while US may be thinking it attacked Iranian interests. So, many pro-Iranian groups (outside Iran) may strive to avenge Soleimani's death. He was actually the "glue" that held the 'Resistance Axis' together (across the Shia Crescent in West Asia).
    • Triggering Iranian patriotism: This killing has suddenly triggered Iranian patriotism, when the nation was recently fighting internal protests on fuel price rise. A new war maybe in the offing.
    • Wrong statements: The US is harming its own interests, by allowing top leaders to make wrong statements like linking Soleimani with the 9/11 attacks. President Trump warned he'd hit "52 Iranian sites, including cultural ones" should Iran hurt Americans. That is a very bad signal, almost a war crime!
    • Europe and the Arab League: Both are not openly siding with the US this time. That in itself is a big signal of the moral high ground that Iran gained by this killing. China and Russia may table a resolution in the UN criticising the US.
    • An illegal war: The US launched its own illegal war against Iraq in 2003, and is stuck there ever since. That gave Iran a huge entry point in regional politics. That scared Saudi Arabia and Israel, who then pressurised US to pressurise Iran more! US policy in the region is in tatters.
    • Weak and reckless: The US position already was quite weak in the region, and is now totally vulnerable due to Trump's recklessness.
    • Summary : The American illegal war in Iraq had made its position weak, and Trump's recklessness has now made it vulnerable in the entire region.
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                                                                                                                                                      PT's IAS Academy: The U.S. is weakened by Soleimani’s killing (An unstable middle east awaits)
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