US walks a tightrope on Khashoggi report

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US walks a tightrope on Khashoggi report

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  • Intelligence on MbS: The US has now released an intelligence report on the savage murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi at Saudi consulate, Istanbul, in 2018. That may 'recalibrate' ties between US and Saudi Arabia. Report says that Saudi crown prince Mohammad bin Salman approved the operation!
  • Action followed: Many Saudi nationals now face US visa restrictions, but MbS has escaped any sanctions. Human rights groups have cried hoarse on this double standard.
  • How Saudis reacted: The govt. has accepted that the murder was heinous, but claimed that the US report was negative and false. Ex-Secy of State Pompeo suddenly said that this release is a political stunt by Biden administration. He suggested Biden wanted better relations with Iran, and destruction of those with the Saudis.
  • What's happening actually: Biden is walking the fine line between a robust interpretation of US interests, and a softer definition of US values. Nothing is set in stone. Saudi Arabia was once a strong supplier of oil for the US, and a counter to Iran, and possible partner for Israel. And US administrations generally tilt towards interests more than commitment to human rights, when situations so demand.
  • From Trump to Biden: While Trump ensured a cozy relationship with the Saudis, and his son-in-law Jared Kushner kept visiting regularly, for Biden it will be a "counterpart to counterpart" basis relationship with King Salman. Biden wants revival of JCPOA with Iran, and doesn't like Israel's ultra right-wing Netanyahu. And today's Congress has a strong bipartisan sentiment against MbS. Only a general stability may happen.
  • Nature of monarchies: The Arab Gulf monarchies are not democracies, and make no such claims either. So crushing dissent is regular! Violence is regularly used to settle scores. Hafez Assad did it to demolish the old city of Hama in 1982, and Saddam sprayed mustard gas and Sarin in 1988. Egyptian govt. killed 800 protestors in Cairo on 14-August 2013. It's a long, depressing list.
  • Why so: Religion and authoritarianism are at the heart of all this. The Saudi love for Wahhabi Islam and ultra-conservatise interpretation of religion started after the 1979 attack on Great Moque in Mecca. Wahhabi influence was malign, and spread worldwide. India too faced it, though only a little.
  • Reforms of MbS: The crown prince is trying to take away the unbridle power that the Wahhabi clergy acquired over the decades. He allowed many new rights to women - driving, watching cinema, attending concerts, etc. School textbooks are now cleaner with little hate for other religions. MbS has the "Saudi Vision 2030 document" also. 67% of Saudi population is below 34 years of age, and MbS too is just 34. He is a man in a hurry, and many reforms are being done without democratic discussions.
  • Indian stake: India has 25 lakh nationals working there. If Saudi actually stops exporting its radical Islam, it will be excellent news for India. Saudis refused to believe the story on J&K that Pakistan informed. That was a good sign.
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