Not a decisive factor (Was NOTA important?)

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Not a decisive factor (Was NOTA important?)

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  • Citing NOTA as the villain: Many candidates cite NOTA (None Of The Above) as the reason for their electoral defeats nowadays. This is generally not true, except when the contest is just too close.
  • 2018 Assembly Elections: The margin of votes between Congress and BJP was only 0.1% in MP, and 0.5% in Rajasthan. The BJP says it lost due to NOTA. The Congress would have said the same had they lost!
  • Facts and numbers: NOTA votes are declining – they went from 1.9% to 1.4% in MP (2013 to 2018), and 1.9% to 1.3% in Rajasthan. In 2014 LS elections, 1.08% chose NOTA and in most states, the range was 1 to 1.5% of total votes polled. Average size of a LS constituency is 27 lakh voters! One percent would be less than 27,000 voters.
  • Assembly elections: An average assembly constituency has 4-5 lakh voters. If in some seats, the NOTA votes are higher than margin of victory, those seats also belong to multiple parties, not just one.
  • MP and Raj. elections 2018: On 23 seats, NOTA votes were more than margin of victory. Of these, 10 were won by BJP and 12 by Congress. In Rajasthan, of the 16 seats that this happened, victories were evenly divided. And in Chhattisgarh, out of 8 such seats, 3 went to BJP and 2 to INC.
  • Trends in 2013 assembly elections: In Rajasthan, BJP was ahead of INC by 12% votes. In 11 seats where NOTA > victory margin, 6 went to BJP and 3 to Congress. In MP too, BJP was ahead by 8%, and of the 26 NOTA seats, BJP won in 14, and INC in 10. So trend is same.
  • It's a myth: NOTA is not the deciding factor at all.
  • Summary : Superficial reading of results misleads people into believing NOTA is a deciding factor, while it is not.
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Not a decisive factor (Was NOTA important?)
Excellent study material for all civil services aspirants - begin learning - Kar ke dikhayenge!
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