The heat is on (A tough summer 2019)

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 The heat is on (A tough summer 2019)

Read more on - Polity | Economy | Schemes | S&T | Environment


    • Monsoon predictions 2019 : The forecast for monsoon 2019 indicates a below-normal scenario. It doesn't inspire confidence, especially as 2018 saw Kerala's devastation due to erratic rainfall, and agri problems across eastern and western states.
    • Skymet says : It has indicated that El Nino may be strong in 2019, and that indicates drought-like conditions. But mitigating factors like the dipole weather phenomenon in Indian Ocean can help. Monsoon normally sets in over India between June 1 to July 15.
    • What will poor monsoon 2019 do : India is currently facing rural distress and economic slowdown, so it would aggravate the situation. The IMD forecasts are pending. Given India's size, we can expect error margins.
    • What was 2018 like : The prediction was for 97% of LPA (long period average) but monsoon rainfall was just 91% of LPA.
    • LS 2019 elections : Since India will be busy with a competitive election this summer, the State administrations now need to gear up for possible heat spikes in April and May (to prevent loss of lives, and distress). NDMA templates are available for making action plans.
    • How to protect in heat waves :
      1. Avoid exposure in hottest part of the day, esp. for vulnerable groups
      2. Staying adequately hydrated, wearing proper clothing and headgear, and using shade when needed
    • Role of ULBs : Spread the messages via media, and care for the vulnerable city dwellers. Sadly, most cities do not have any plans as such. In an election year, they'll anyway be distracted, so public health will be not the priority.
    • Advance weather alerts : Since these are now available, there can be no excuse for not having remedial measures. Also, mitigating heat wave effects will also ensure high turnout in elections.
    • Failure : India has not succeeded in ensuring that the potential of decentralised water-harvesting is tapped. Year 2019 will bring that into focus. The National Commission on Farmers indicated it a decade ago - adopt rainwater harvesting and aquifer recharge to provide irrigation to smaller farmers. Time to do that now.
    • Summary : Year 2019 poses a unique challenge - the authorities need to stay focussed on heat wave related challenges in an year with predicted below-normal monsoon just when a hyper-competitive election is on.
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                                                                                                                                                    PT's IAS Academy: The heat is on (A tough summer 2019)
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