How the Left Front bucked a decades-old trend in Kerala

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How the Left Front bucked a decades-old trend in Kerala

Read more on - Polity | Economy | Schemes | S&T | Environment


  • Kerala political reality: Every five years, power shift happens without fail, in Kerala, between the CPI (Marxist)-led LDF, and the Congress-led UDF. So in 2021, it was the turn for UDF to take charge, but voters brought back the LDF with full majority. [UDF - United Democratic Front, LDF - Left Democratic Front]
  • Immediate impact: For the Left politics, this was a big push in terms of national messaging, but the Congress it was a setback. The BJP lost out completely. The UDF won just 41 seats, though with same vote share as earlier, while the LDF won 99 seats, and at a higher vote share. Voter surveys had clearly indicated this trend.
  • Why second term: The voters generally feel that the CM and his govt. did a good job, with 73% expressing satisfaction. When compared, fewer voters rated UDF better than the LDF. 
  • Challenges: In the 5 years, CM Pinarayi Vijayan faced two floods, a Nipah outbreak and then the Covid pandemic. The national lockdown brought new relief measures for Kerala citizens, earning goodwill. Free food kits benefited millions. For CM post, P Vijayan was a clear first choice, and ex-CM Oommen Chandy a distant second. BJP's 'metro man' E Sreedharan wasn't even in the race.
  • Scams: The CPM(M)-LDF was under attack for various scams over the years. But voting preferences didn't change due to that. People didn't know much of the scams. That is a point to ponder, given the high literacy rate in Kerala, and high public awareness in general.
  • Party or the Candidate: The battle was between the UDF, LDF and the newly aggressive BJP. But most voters chose to vote on the basis of party, and not candidates. CM Vijayan's appeal to voters to vote on the issue of development led to most voters do exactly that! The BJP tried hard but failed to capitalise on the Sabarimala issue.
  • Social group wise: The poor and the first-time voters voted the LDF in bulk. Many Nair votes were lost (compared to 2016) due to Sabarimala issue, but Ezhava community votes were gained (53%). Both Muslims and Christians voted more for LDF.
  • Aggressive campaigning: Many voters were approached by all the three alliances, and of all such, 44% voted LDF, 37% the UDF and 15% the NDA. Clearly, government's performance and CM's leadership carried the day for the LDF.
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          PT's IAS Academy: How the Left Front bucked a decades-old trend in Kerala
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Excellent study material for all civil services aspirants - begin learning - Kar ke dikhayenge!
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